Ufc 166 Payouts
On Saturday, January 25th, the UFC will be live from the PNC Arena in Raleigh, North Carolina, for UFC on ESPN+ 24 also known as UFC Fight Night: Blaydes vs dos Santos, UFC Fight Night 166, and UFC Fight Night Raleigh.
The main event of the evening is a heavyweight battle between Curtis Blaydes and former UFC champion Junior dos Santos. In total, there are 12 fights scheduled for this event. UFC on ESPN+ 24 will begin at 5 PM ET with the prelim card and an 8 PM start time for the main card. All fights will be streamed live on ESPN+.
UFC 166 is over and done with. The results are as follows: Cain Velasquez def. Junior dos Santos, TKO (Round 5, 3:09) Daniel Cormier def. Roy Nelson, Unanimous decision (30-27, 30-27, 30-27. UFC 166 is a card well worth watching. It's got it all. The final fight in the heavyweight title trilogy between Cain Velazquez and Junior dos Santos, another heavyweight clash between Daniel. How to Watch UFC 259: BLACHOWICZ VS ADESANYA Find start times and stream links for UFC 259: BLACHOWICZ VS ADESANYA live March 6, 2021.
UFC betting sites have released their odds for the full slate of UFC on ESPN+24 fights. Let’s step inside the betting octagon to examine these current betting lines courtesy of 5Dimes, identify possible betting value or upsets, and KO our predictions.
Nothing better than a HW fight week ? #UFCRaleighpic.twitter.com/8pnuJGOc6p
— UFC (@ufc) January 21, 2020
According to sources expected 14,500 people attending the fight night 166 which means gateway income higher compared to fight night 165 held in Korea. The fighters who. UFC Fight Night 167 - Anderson vs. Blachowicz 2 pits Jan Blachowicz vs Corey Overtime Anderson fight in Santa Ana Star Center, Rio Rancho, New Mexico, United States on Feb 15, 2020.
UFC 166 Fight Night on ESPN + Prelims
The preliminary card for UFC on ESPN+ 24 features seven fights and is set to begin at 5 PM ET.
Herbert Burns vs Nate Landwehr
- Herbert Burns (+105)
- Nate Landwehr (-125)
Burns is the slight underdog for this contest, but he enters this weekend’s bout on a three fight winning streak. Burns earned his UFC contract by winning on DWCS last August via 1st round submission over Darrick Minner.
Seven of his nine pro wins have come via submission. Herbert is the younger brother of Gilbert Burns and is another fighter in a long line of Brazilian submission artists.
Landwehr, nicknamed “The Train,” will hit you like a locomotive and plows forward like a runaway train. He’s on a seven fight win streak that saw him run through M-1 and earn a shot in the UFC. Eight of his 13 pro wins have come via TKO/KO including two of his last three contests.
This fight is pretty cut and dry. For Landwehr to win, he will need to pummel Burns in the standup department and finish him off. For Burns to win, he needs to get this fight to the mat where he will force Landwehr to tap out.
Landwehr pushes a high pace, which could wear down Burns in the latter portions of this fight. Unfortunately, I don’t see it getting that far. Burns should be able to get a takedown in the 1st or 2nd rounds and find a limb to latch onto forcing Landwehr to tap out.
UFC Fight Night 166 Bet: Burns vs LandwehrHerbert Burns (+105)
Brett Johns vs Tony Gravely
- Brett Johns (+100)
- Tony Gravely (-120)
Here we have another very close and competitive matchup as these two bantamweights look to climb up the ladder.
Brett Johns is the slight underdog and comes into this bout on a two fight losing streak. However, those losses were via decision to two top studs in Pedro Munhoz and Aljamain Sterling. Prior to those defeats, Johns won three straight fights to open up his UFC career.
Eight of his 15 pro wins have come via decision. Both of his career losses have come via decision. Johns hasn’t fought since the Munhoz fight, which was in August 2018.
Gravely enters this weekend’s bout on a seven fight win streak including a 3rd round TKO victory on DWCS last August. He’s the former CES bantamweight champion and has showed a strong ground game that could be the deciding factor in this matchup. 11 of Gravely’s 19 pro wins have come via stoppage with eight victories by way of TKO/KO.
This really is a tough fight to pick, but since we haven’t seen Johns in 17 months it’s hard to feel confident that he’s on top of his game. With Gravely having the edge in grappling, and being more active than Johns, I’m taking him to win this contest via decision.
'I don't want to be that kind of guy': Why Tony Gravely got to the UFC without a padded record
From Josh Gross (@yay_yee) https://t.co/DJgFwDfdXi
— The Athletic MMA (@TheAthleticMMA) January 23, 2020
UFC Fight Night 166 Bet: Johns vs GravelyTony Gravely (-120)
Justine Kish vs Lucie Pudilova
- Justine Kish (+155)
- Lucie Pudilova (-175)
Kish returns to the octagon for the first time in two years and sports a 2-2 record with the UFC. She lost her last two fights before the lengthy hiatus. Additionally, she’s finally committed to moving to this division due struggles with weight issues in the past.
Six of her eight fights have gone the distance including the last six in a row. She’s 4-2 in those contests.
Pudilova has lost three straight contests, but they were to top ranked fighters and the bouts were very competitive. With that said, Pudilova is just 2-4 in the UFC and in desperate need for a big win on Saturday. It’s been almost two years since she’s last won a fight. Four of her eight pro wins have come via stoppage.
This fight has “going the distance” written all over it. Kish won’t have the size advantage that she’s used to and Pudilova has the better technique. Kish should be able to survive whatever punishment is doled out, but I don’t see her winning this contest.
The two women have combined to go to the judges in 14 of 21 pro fights. As mentioned, Kish is 4-2 while Pudilova is 4-4 in fights going the distance. I wouldn’t be surprised if Pudilova gets a late TKO, but I’m taking her to win this contest via unanimous decision.
UFC Fight Night 166 Bet: Kish vs PudilovaLucie Pudilova (-175)
Sara McMann vs Lina Akhtar Lansberg
- Sara McMann (-155)
- Lina Akhtar Lansberg (+135)
In the second of three women’s fights on the night, McMann makes her return to the octagon for the first time in almost two years. She was out of action due to having a child and an injury in a previous comeback attempt.
Despite the hiatus, McMann is a sizable betting favorite for this contest and it’s largely due to her grappling skills which give her a big advantage in this matchup. McMann has gone 5-5 inside the octagon with losses to Nunes, Tate and Rousey during her first two years with the promotion. Six of her 11 pro wins have come via stoppage.
Lansberg has won three of her last four fights including a win over Pudilova who’s also on this card. Her last two losses have come to top fighters in Ladd and Kunitskaya. However, she bounced back to get solid wins over Evinger and Chiasson. Six of her 10 pro wins have come via decision.
If McMann comes back in top form then there’s no reason why she shouldn’t win this fight. Lansberg is a striker with a weak grappling game. McMann packs power, but has a strong grappling game and could end up grinding Lansberg into the mat.
I believe McMann controls most of this fight either from the mat or pushing Lansberg against the cage and landing some power shots. I’m taking McMann to win via unanimous decision. Combined, these two women have gone the distance in 13 of 30 pro fights.
Ufc 166 Payouts 2019
UFC Fight Night 166 Bet: McMann vs LansbergSara McMann (-155)
Montel Jackson vs Felipe Dias Colares
- Montel Jackson (-630)
- Felipe Dias Colares (+465)
This fight has the largest disparity in odds for the entire UFC event. Jackson is the biggest betting favorite of the night while Colares is the biggest underdog.
Colares is a former champ for Jungle Fight and entered the UFC with an 8-0 record before losing his debut bout almost one year ago. He suffered a unanimous decision loss to Freitas Jr. who was clearly the better fighter. Colares bounced back with a split decision win over Pilarte last July.
Seven of his nine pro wins have been via stoppage with five of those victories by way of submission. However, his last three fights have all gone the distance.
Jackson earned his UFC contract in June 2018, but would go on to lose his UFC debut bout two months later via unanimous decision to the talented Ricky Simon. Following that fight, Jackson would bounce back and win two bouts in a row over solid competition: Kelleher and Soukhamthath.
Six of his eight pro wins have come via stoppage with five of those victories coming by way of TKO/KO. Jackson has plenty of firepower in the standup department. Colares is outgunned in this area of the fight.
Additionally, Jackson has superior grappling skills compared to Colares, which gives Montel another avenue to victory. There’s really no path to victory for Colares other than a miracle haymaker. Although there’s no value with Jackson, he’s clearly going to win this fight most likely in the 1st round.
UFC Fight Night 166 Bet: Jackson vs ColaresMontel Jackson (-630)
Nik Lentz vs Arnold Allen
- Nik Lentz (+240)
- Arnold Allen (-300)
Both men were originally scheduled to face different opponents for this Fight Night event. However, their respective opponents were forced out due to injuries and so the UFC decided to book them in a fight.
Lentz has been with the UFC since 2009 and has made 23 trips inside the octagon. He’s 2-1 in his last three contests, but hasn’t fought since May 2019. Lentz lost to Charles Oliveira in his last fight, which is the second time he’s lost to him and the third time they have fought against each other. Their first bout ended in a NC due to an illegal knee.
19 of Lentz’s 30 pro wins have come via stoppage with 11 by way of TKO/KO. He also has 18 pro fights going the distance with a record of 11-5-2 in those contests.
Allen is a large betting favorite and is 10 years younger than Lentz. He’s on an eight fight win streak that’s seen him go 6-0 inside the octagon. Four of his last five wins have come via decision, bringing his total up to six.
Allen’s last fight was against a former champ in Gilbert Melendez. Allen dominated the fight from the opening moments all the way until the conclusion of round three. It really put a stamp on this kid as being a rising prospect in a loaded division.
With that said, Allen is going to have to show that he’s improved his takedown defense in order to keep Lentz from grinding him into the mat. Lentz’s best chance at winning is getting Allen down and gaining top control for large stretches of the fight.
Allen has a two inch reach advantage and is the superior striker between the two. He will finish the fight inside the distance if he can keep it standing. Otherwise, Allen will need to land a higher volume of punches in order to counter whatever ground control Lentz gets in this bout.
Currently, Allen is ranked 15th in the division. A win this Saturday should push him closer to the Top 10 and I believe he will get it. I like what I’ve seen from Allen in his last few fights. He should at least get the unanimous decision victory, if not a TKO.
W W W W W W
Can @Arnoldbfa make it 7️⃣ in a row at #UFCRaleigh? pic.twitter.com/Twozw58cuQ
— UFC Europe (@UFCEurope) January 23, 2020
UFC Fight Night 166 Bet: Lentz vs AllenArnold Allen (-300)
Bevon Lewis vs Dequan Townsend
- Bevon Lewis (-420)
- Dequan Townsend (+335)
This is a rather uninspiring fight for the top billing of the prelim card. Not only do fans and pundits feel that it lacks excitement, but online betting sites believe it’s going to be a one-sided affair. Lewis comes in as the second biggest betting favorite of the night. However, neither fighter instills betting confidence.
Townsend is a big bodied fighter with some power behind his punches. 12 of his 21 pro wins have come via TKO/KO. He’s also showed durability and a chin as he’s gone the distance in 11 of his 30 pro fights and has only lost once via TKO/KO. With that said, Townsend’s game is strictly trying to take your head off.
He made his UFC debut last June and lost via TKO to Lungiambula. Townsend is 2-1 in his last three fights, but has spent a great deal of his career bouncing around different regional promotions.
Lewis is clearly the better fighter between the two men, but has been a disappointment as of late. He’s dropped two straight fights, which were his first two UFC contests.
In his six wins, Lewis is either stopping opponents with a TKO/KO or going the distance. He’s tallied three wins via each method. Yet, he really underperformed in his last fight against Stewart, which he was expected to win.
Lewis needs to show that he can deliver on his potential and his skillset. If he loses this fight then he could be seeing his time in the UFC come to an end. Fortunately, he’s going up against a limited fighter and one that he outclasses in every aspect of the fight game. Take Lewis to win via unanimous decision.
UFC Fight Night 166 Bet: Lewis vs TownsendBevon Lewis (-420)
UFC on ESPN+ 24 Main Card
The main card for UFC Fight Night 166 features five fights and is set to begin at 8 PM ET.
Jamahal Hill vs Darko Stosic
- Jamahal Hill (-125)
- Darko Stosic (+115)
- Over (+100)/Under (-130) 2.5 rounds
- Fight Goes Distance: Yes (+130)/No (-170)
Stosic is the slight underdog for this contest after dropping two straight fights inside the octagon. His overall UFC record is now 1-2. Stosic is looking to get back on the winning track after having a nine fight win streak snapped last June.
Although he lost two straight fights, they both went the distance and they were against reputable opponents in Devin Clark and Kennedy Nzechukwu. Stosic also has solid grappling skills to go along with his striking ability where eight of his 13 pro wins have come via TKO/KO.
Hill has a four inch height and three inch reach advantage in this contest. He also has the power advantage as well. However, he is still a “raw” fighter who’s making his UFC debut after earning a contract on DWCS last July. Half of his pro wins have come via TKO/KO and the other half have come via decision.
This fight comes down to Stosic’s experience versus Hill’s raw potential. Both men will be looking for a knockout, but Stosic does have enough of a grappling game to tip the scales in his favor for this fight. If he can get inside on Hill then I believe he can do a lot of damage.
With two strikers, I would normally predict the fight ends inside the distance. But, half of Hill’s six pro fights have gone the distance and four of Stosic’s last seven have gone to the scorecards including his last two contests.
I’m taking the Over 2.5 rounds (+100) and the prop bet that the fight will go the full three rounds (+130). Stosic proved he can hang with fearless strikers like Nzechukwu and Clark. He’s proven to be durable and showed he has a strong chin.
I like Stosic’s edge in experience and grappling to overcome Hill’s power and striking arsenal. I’m taking Stosic to win via decision.
UFC Fight Night 166 Bet: Hill vs StosicDarko Stosic (+115), Over 2.5 rounds (+100), Fight goes the distance (+130)
Angela Hill vs Hannah Cifers
- Angela Hill (-160)
- Hannah Cifers (+140)
- Over (-495)/Under (+360) 2.5 rounds
- Fight Goes Distance: Yes (-420)/No (+300)
Despite winning her last two fights and improving to 2-1 inside the octagon, Cifers comes in as a notable underdog. Her last two victories have come via decision and against solid competition. Her lone UFC loss was to the talented Maycee Barber.
Cifers is a tough competitor with durability and tenacity. She can go punch for punch with Hill and has the ability to do a lot of damage on the inside. However, she will have to get past Hill’s height and reach advantage. Five of Cifers’ 10 wins have come via TKO/KO with the other five coming via decision.
For Hill, she’s trying to put together a two fight winning streak for the first time in the UFC. Between her two stints with the promotion, Hill has gone 5-7 inside the octagon. She fought four times in 2019 and went 2-2 in those contests.
As for her upcoming fight, Hill had the following assessment about Cifers and how things might play out:
“She looks like she hits hard, but she kind of wings her punches. I feel like I have the speed advantage. She’s fought some tough fights, so I don’t think she’s going to quit right away, but I definitely think I can get her there. I’m going to put the pressure on her, put the volume on her, use my speed to my advantage and hit her before she hits me.”
It’s a simple enough game plan for Hill as she does have the speed and technical striking advantage. However, I do give Cifers the power advantage and the ability to succeed inside the proverbial phone booth.
If Cifers can turn this bout into a “dirty boxing” fight then I think she can pull off the upset. If Hill keeps it at a range then she will get the win by landing a higher volume of strikes.
It’s clear that this fight is going over 2.5 rounds (-495) and it will go the distance (-420). Combined, they have gone the distance in 17 of their 30 pro fights.
For me, I’m going with the betting upset and taking Cifers to win. I think she closes the distance and makes this an ugly fight. The safe play might be on Hill, but I like Cifers in this matchup.
UFC Fight Night 166 Bet: Hill vs CifersHannah Cifers (+140), Over 2.5 rounds (-495), Fight goes the distance (-420)
Jordan Espinosa vs Alex Perez
- Jordan Espinosa (+235)
- Alex Perez (-275)
- Over (+100)/Under (-130) 2.5 rounds
- Fight Goes Distance: Yes (+130)/No (-170)
This fight is a battle of two Top 12 flyweights with the #11 ranked Jordan Espinosa taking on the #12 ranked Alex Perez. Despite the closeness in rankings, there’s a huge difference in the UFC betting odds.
Espinosa is a big underdog for this fight and it’s largely due to what his opponent has accomplished rather than his lack of skills. With that said, Espinosa did lose his last fight via 1st round submission. The loss snapped a five fight win streak, which included two DWNCS wins and a victory in his octagon debut.
Nine of his wins have come via stoppage with seven by way of submission. However, he does have three submission losses as well.
Perez scored a decision win in his last fight which came in March 2019 against a tough Mark De La Rosa. It was a bounce back victory for Perez who lost in November 2018 to Joseph Benavidez. Since joining the UFC in late 2017, Perez has gone 4-1 inside the octagon.
10 of his 22 pro wins have come via stoppage with six by way of submission. However, he also has three submission losses on his record.
Injuries derailed plans for Perez to fight again in 2019. Now, that he’s all healed up, Perez is coming back down to flyweight to take on Espinosa. He fought De La Rosa at 135 pounds.
Unless there’s a submission along the way, it appears that this fight should go the full three rounds. Perez has gone the distance in 13 of his 27 pro fights and Espinosa has eight decision outcomes.
I like the value with the Over 2.5 rounds (+100). I also like the value of this fight going the distance at +130 odds. I’m taking Perez to win this fight as I do think he’s the better fighter between the two, although it’s not by much. Espinosa is worthy of a flier for the risk takers out there.
He lets his hands LOOSE! ?@AlexPerezMMA#UFCRaleighpic.twitter.com/7LL6rZSSJQ
— UFC (@ufc) January 22, 2020
UFC Fight Night 166 Bet: Espinosa vs PerezAlex Perez (-275), Over 2.5 rounds (+100), Fight goes the distance (+130)
Rafael dos Anjos vs Mike Chiesa
- Rafael dos Anjos (-265)
- Mike Chiesa (+225)
- Over (-170)/Under (+140) 2.5 rounds
- Fight Goes Distance: Yes (-150)/No (+110)
This matchup is baffling as we have the #5 ranked Rafael dos Anjos (RDA) taking on an unranked Mike Chiesa who only has two welterweight fights under his belt.
But, apparently we have RDA to thank for this uninspiring co-main event as he’s the one who asked for it according to Chiesa:
“This is definitely a much higher-ranked opponent than I thought I was going to get. I know I could thank him for that as he asked for this matchup to my understanding. So, I’m really excited about the challenge ahead.”
I’m a bit surprised that the UFC agreed to this matchup as there really is no point to it. RDA has nothing to gain and everything to lose. Whereas Chiesa jumps at least three or four other guys that should’ve had their shot at a Top 5 welterweight opponent.
Rafael dos Anjos recently commented on his career not being easy especially in the UFC:
“I’ve never had an easy route in my life or my career — no easy fights, no easy routes. I’ve always fought Top 10 guys and I think even though I’ve got a couple losses at welterweight, it’s to two guys who fought for the title and another guy in the Top 5 and I went the distance with all of them.”
If you look at his resume over the last 12 fights, you won’t find another UFC fighter with a more impressive dance card. Over the last 5 years, he’s beaten Nate Diaz, Anthony Pettis, Donald Cerrone, Robbie Lawler and Kevin Lee.
During that same time span, he’s also lost to Eddie Alvarez, Tony Ferguson, Colby Covington, Kamaru Usman and Leon Edwards. RDA has taken on the top fighters across both the lightweight and the welterweight divisions.
Yes, his career has been tough and he’s proven to be a legit stud in the UFC. However, his fight with Chiesa is not against a Top 10 foe or even a Top 20 opponent. It’s as if he handpicked a fighter that he can beat in the striking department and smother in the ground game.
Chiesa is an accomplished grappler with 11 of his 16 pro wins coming via submission. He tapped out Carlos Condit in his welterweight debut and then followed that up with a unanimous decision win over Diego Sanchez.
Ufc 168 Payouts
However, RDA is a notch above Chiesa in the jiu-jitsu game. He has 10 submission victories and has never been forced to tap out. Chiesa has zero victories via TKO/KO while RDA has five. So, there’s really nothing that dos Anjos has to worry about when the two are standing face to face.
Think about it for a second. If RDA can go five rounds with Tony Ferguson, Robbie Lawler, Colby Covington, Kamaru Usman and Leon Edwards, then he certainly can go three rounds with Chiesa and come away with the victory.
I enjoy watching RDA fight, but this matchup is a bit of a disappointment. With that said, the odds favor the fight going Over 2.5 rounds (-170), but I think RDA is going to stop it sooner than that. I believe Chiesa has no chance in the stand up and when he goes to the mat RDA will finish it off.
The Under 2.5 rounds (+140) offers great value. Additionally, I don’t see the fight going the distance. With a finish inside the distance, you can get odds of +110 on this UFC prop bet. I’m taking RDA to finish Chiesa by stoppage within two rounds.
UFC Fight Night 166 Bet: dos Anjos vs ChiesaRafael dos Anjos (-265), Under 2.5 rounds (+140), Fight doesn’t go the distance (+110)
Curtis Blaydes vs Junior dos Santos
- Curtis Blaydes (-240)
- Junior dos Santos (+200)
- Over (+130)/Under (-160) 2.5 rounds
- Fight Goes Distance: Yes (+290)/No (-410)
The main event of the night is a Top 4 heavyweight battle as the #3 Curtis Blaydes takes on the former UFC heavyweight champion in the 4th ranked Junior dos Santos.
At age 35, Junior dos Santos is still a top notch fighter and a legit contender in the heavyweight division despite his brutal TKO loss to Francis Ngannou last June. JDS was just another victim on the Ngannou express as he had already TKO’d Blaydes twice.
The loss snapped a three fight win streak for dos Santos who had TKO’d Tuivasa and Lewis in consecutive fights. For his career, JDS has scored 15 TKO/KO wins.
However, that career was almost cut short when dos Santos suffered a serious leg infection last fall and could’ve lost his leg if he didn’t go to the hospital and traveled to Moscow for his UFC fight instead. With that said, JDS is completely healed and ready to get back inside the octagon.
Some fans and pundits wondered why he chose such a difficult opponent in his first fight of 2020. JDS was going to take on Volkov last fall, who’s currently ranked 7th in the division, but that he withdrew due to his leg infection.
For dos Santos, it’s all about beating the best opponents and proving he deserves another title shot:
“I don’t choose opponents and never will. I’m here to fight the best because I truly believe I can regain this belt and I will regain this belt. It’s a matter of time and hard work. This division is very dangerous. There’s a lot of hard work to be done, and I’m ready to work.”
If dos Santos can win this fight then he would put himself in line for a shot at the title in 2020 depending on what Stipe Miocic does next. The division is held up right now because Miocic might rematch Daniel Cormier for the third time, which leaves the #1 contender Francis Ngannou without any immediate fight.
Ufc 166 Payouts Results
Since Ngannou has already defeated both dos Santos and Blaydes, the winner of this UFC Raleigh heavyweight fight will be at least two fights away from a title shot.
Blaydes would love another crack at Ngannou to avenge the only two losses of his career. Unfortunately, it won’t happen. Ngannou won their last fight in 45 seconds. That ended any third chapter to this rivalry. Since that 2018 loss to Ngannou, Blaydes has won two fights by defeating Willis and Abdurakhimov who’s ranked 10th in the division.
For the rising heavyweight contender, a win over dos Santos will be the biggest of his career and add another name to his resume as he’s already defeated Overeem and Hunt. As for the fight itself, Blaydes believes it will play out as follows:
“He’s Junior. I know I have the advantage when it comes to the wrestling department. Not many guys in this sport, let alone this weight class, that have my credentials in wrestling. So I want to use my grappling advantage. I know he doesn’t want to grapple. He wants to keep space and distance.”
It doesn’t take a rocket scientist to figure this out. Blaydes has a huge advantage on the mat over JDS, but dos Santos is the better striker. The fight will come down to how well JDS can defend the takedowns and counter strike.
Before I pick a winner, let’s take a look at a few other betting options. I don’t see this fight going the distance (-410). These two men are finishers and there’s no way their clashing styles will allow a fight to go to the judges.
Additionally, I don’t see it going deep into the 3rd round. So, the Under 2.5 rounds (-160) is the smart play.
Blaydes is a large betting favorite for this heavyweight showdown, but all it takes is one punch to change the outcome of a fight. And, dos Santos has proven that time after time with 15 TKO/KO wins.
Ufc 166 Payouts 2020
Furthermore, his striking skills are still at an elite level for this division. He might not have the scary knockout power that he used to have, but he can still finish off Blaydes with a TKO. I’m going with the upset here as I like JDS to win this fight via TKO. He has the striking and experience advantages, which will be the differences in this fight.
Junior dos Santos (+200), Under 2.5 rounds (-160), Fight will not go the distance (-410)
Betting Value for UFC on ESPN+ 24
The following fighters offer betting value based on their current MMA odds, UFC on ESPN+ 24 matchups and career success:
- Herbert Burns (+105) – Is the slight underdog to Nate Landwehr (-125), but I believe his ground game will be too much for Landwehr to handle. Burns only needs one takedown to finish this fight and he will get it before the halfway mark of this contest.
- Tony Gravely (-120) – Is the slight favorite against Brett Johns (+100) in their bantamweight matchup. Gravely has the grappling edge and Johns hasn’t fought since August 2018. I’m taking Gravely to win a highly competitive bout via decision.
- Darko Stosic (+115) – Is the underdog in his fight against the unbeaten Jamahal Hill (-125) and like him to win. Stosic has the edge in experience and grappling. He’s proven that he can hang with powerful strikers and I believe he will get the decision win in this contest.
- Hannah Cifers (+140) – Is a notable underdog in her fight against Angela Hill (-160), but I like her chances in this contest as I think she can close the distance and do some damage.
- Junior dos Santos (+200) – Is a large underdog against Curtis Blaydes (-240). However, I like the former champ to win this fight via TKO due to his superior striking skills, takedown defense, and overall big fight experience.
Final Thought on UFC Fight Night 166
I’m pumped for the main event of this card. The two heavyweights will put on a show and we should get a highlight finish whether it’s a TKO from Junior dos Santos in the standup department or Curtis Blaydes gets JDS to the mat where he ‘ground and pounds’ his way to TKO victory.
Highest Ufc Payouts
With that said, I’m not that excited for the rest of the card. There’s not a lot of compelling matchups for this event. The co-headliner between Rafael dos Santos and Michael Chiesa is a perfect example of lackluster booking that leaves you wondering what the UFC was even thinking.
Despite the lack of depth for this event, the betting action will make up for any entertainment deficiencies. There are plenty of opportunities to score some big wins and to take advantage of some solid value plays.
UFC Fight Night 166 Betting Recap
Ufc Fight Night 166 Payouts
- Herbert Burns (+105)
- Tony Gravely (-120)
- Lucie Pudilova (-175)
- Sara McMann (-155)
- Montel Jackson (-630)
- Arnold Allen (-300)
- Bevin Lewis (-420)
- Darko Stosic (+115)
- Hannah Cifers (+140)
- Alex Perez (-275)
- Rafael dos Anjos (-265)
- Junior dos Santos (+200)